More
companies are hatching plans to
compensate for the impending crush of
retirements by senior executives. Will
they be able to put a dent in a
potentially ruinous problem?
Companies may be having a hard time
finding qualified young people to fill
their junior accounting and finance
positions, but that's nothing compared
to the struggles they'll likely be
facing in the next few years at the
other end of the age spectrum.
The
long-dreaded era of Baby Boomer
retirements has finally dawned, and with
the oldest Boomers turning 62 this year,
the fallout may reach epic proportions
in the early years of the next decade.
The impact on corporate well-being will
be most severe in the senior executive
ranks, which are chock-full of people in
their 50s and 60s who, unlike most
others in their generation, can afford
to retire.
That
means many companies will be
hard-pressed to shore up their finance
functions with leaders as experienced as
those they have had until now. At
Fortune 500 companies, about half of
senior managers are expected to retire
in the next five years, according to Jay
Jamrog, senior vice president of
research at The Institute for Corporate
Productivity, which researches social,
political, legal, economic, and other
trends on behalf of its members, mostly
large corporations. At the same time,
there will be fewer people to replace
them with. The Bureau of Labor
Statistics estimates that over the next
10 years there will be a 15 percent
decline in workers age 35 to 54,
concurrent with a 25 percent increase in
demand.
The
looming problem is particularly acute in
industries that experience historically
low turnover or whose fortunes tend to
be cyclical, with their hiring
concentrated in boom times, according to
Eric Lesser, an associate partner in
IBM's Global Business Services Group,
the company's business consulting unit.
Such industries include public
utilities, oil and gas, metals and
mining, industrial products, and
health-care companies, said Lesser, who
oversees the group's research and
thought leadership on human capital
management issues.
Most
disturbing is that there seems to be no
great solution to the problem, let alone
an ideal one. "Nobody's got any good
plans for replacing people or keeping
them longer," Jamrog told CFO.com. "What
kind of lure can you provide for a
senior executive who can afford
retirement? Keeping them on as mentors
is a very good idea, but how do you do
that?"
Indeed,
in a 2006 study by the Society of Human
Resources Management, only about a
quarter of the 1,232 respondents said
their employers were offering employment
options designed to attract and retain
semi-retired workers, and 62 percent
were not even planning any action on
this front. The numbers were similar for
"changing retirement policies and plans
as a result of projected demographic
changes." And almost 70 percent said
they had no plans to try to bring back
former executives as mentors.
But
while mounting such efforts will not
eradicate the serious underlying
demographic realities, it could be of
some help. More companies are buying
into that idea, according to human
resources consultants, who are
interested parties because they get paid
for helping set up succession-planning
programs.
"We are
seeing movement now, a real urgency that
even 18 months ago did not exist," said
David de Wetter, senior consultant for
human resources transformation at Watson
Wyatt Worldwide. The impending
retirement of senior executives is "like
a train coming at you through the
tunnel, and people are recognizing that
it's a lot closer than they thought," he
said.
Strategies that are increasingly being
used include allowing retirement-age
executives to work part time — a limited
number of days or hours per week, or on
a project basis, or six months on and
six months off. Telecommuting can be an
attractive option as well. "Companies
are actively looking to tap into
individuals who are around the
traditional retirement age and want to
continue to work but perhaps not in a
traditional job environment," said
Lesser. He also noted that a number of
large corporations are using the
services of YourEncore.com, which serves
as a contracting agency for
knowledge-intensive retired executives.
There
may be a disincentive, though, for
someone who has already retired to come
back to work: a likely suspension of
pension benefits (if performing a
similar role as in pre-retirement days)
and a reduction in Social Security
benefits. That's not likely to dissuade
a wealthy, high-earning executive, but
it could be a factor for some,
especially retirees from smaller
companies.
It's
not all about keeping the older folks
around, of course. Another shift,
according to de Wetter, is that some
companies are moving away from grooming
specific people for specific future
executive roles in favor of a more
fungible approach. The idea is to create
leadership pools, composed of people who
display qualifications as leaders that
are transferable enterprise-wide.
"We're
seeing that people in finance don't
necessarily have a straight, predictable
shot up the finance ladder in the
organization," de Wetter told CFO.com.
"One thing we're seeing in several
organizations is finance people a level
or two down from the CFO taking a
sidestep into, of all things, human
resources for a couple of years. They're
trying to bring some of the discipline
of finance into the H.R. function,
before going back to finance." As a
bonus, he added, "It makes you a better
finance leader if you understand the
people side of the equation. Because
after all, all any company has are
people and money."
Some
companies also are putting the onus on
C-suite executives to come up with
solutions to the expected spate of
retirements, basing compensation in part
on their success in retaining key
executives, according to de Wetter. And
in some cases, mandatory retirement ages
are being pushed back to 70 or even 75.
Providing technology and other training
to older executives is another strategy
growing in popularity. "Typically in the
past companies have been hesitant about
allowing their older workers to take
part in training because they didn't see
the ROI," said Lesser. But that is
changing, given how rapidly the needed
skills change in today's market,
combined with the goal of keeping
executives around longer.
That
goal is bound to have an impact on
compensation for senior executives, and
in fact it already is, said Terry
Gallagher, president of recruiting firm
Battalia Winston. "As executive
recruiters, we're finding it harder to
extract the 'A players' out of their
current employment, because they've been
better compensated," he said. "That's
what is happening here: too many jobs
chasing too few executives, and when
that happens, supply and demand dictates
that they will be better compensated.
And you'll see even more creative
compensation schemes."
Meanwhile, is the economic downturn
having any influence on retirement
demographics? One possible effect is
that some executives, whose retirement
funds were very tied up in investments
they thought were quite safe only to see
their value plummet, will delay
retirement. Another is that companies
may seize the opportunity to trim their
"B and C players" from the ranks, noted
Gallagher, though he added, "That
doesn't help the issue of losing your
'A' talent." At the same time, the
faltering economy may in fact present
advancement opportunities to CFOs at
bumpy companies where boards of
directors have shown the CEO the door.
Losing
any top talent is bad enough, but
corporations face the very real fact
that they will lose a majority of their
top talent in a very short time span.
"It's one thing if you're the CEO and
you bring in a new CFO but your heads of
sales, marketing, and operations are
still there," said de Wetter. "But if
you have three of your five top leaders
all leaving within a year, that's an
enormous change."